Despite the recent decline in Bitcoin’s price below $70,000, crypto analyst Peter Brandt maintains an optimistic outlook for the pioneer cryptocurrency. Brandt predicts that the price of Bitcoin could reach its peak soon, with an expected surge between the range of $130,000 to $150,000. He foresees Bitcoin’s peak to occur in 2025 between late August and early September.
Brandt bases his predictions on Bitcoin’s previous halving dates, highlighting the cyclical event’s impact on the cryptocurrency’s price movements. The Bitcoin halving is a four-year cycle event that cuts mining rewards by half, reducing supply and potentially driving up the price due to increased scarcity and heightened demand for the cryptocurrency. Brandt notes the almost perfect symmetry within past bull market cycles following each halving year.
In his blog post, Brandt shares a price chart depicting Bitcoin’s price movements from 2010 to 2025, emphasizing the cryptocurrency’s past performances after halving events. He notes that after the halving events in 2012 and 2016, Bitcoin witnessed significant bull runs that pushed its price to new all-time highs. The most notable bull cycle was seen in 2021 after the May 2020 halving event, where Bitcoin’s price surged to a previous all-time high of around $69,044.
While expressing his bullish outlook for Bitcoin, Brandt also disclosed a more pessimistic assessment of the cryptocurrency’s future price. He places a 25% probability that Bitcoin has topped this bull market cycle, based on the massive rally earlier this year driven by the approval and launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. In March 2024, Bitcoin surpassed its previous 2021 high, exceeding $73,000 and marking a new all-time high.
Brandt warns that if Bitcoin fails to reach a new all-time high after its halving event, he expects a price decline towards $55,000. This prediction goes against historical trends, as Bitcoin typically witnesses a bull rally to new all-time highs after its halving event. However, the peak above $73,000 before the halving event on April 20 has raised some concerns about the cryptocurrency’s future price movements.
Peter Brandt’s analysis of Bitcoin’s future price movements presents both an optimistic outlook and a more cautious assessment. While the potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs in the next bull market cycle is high, there is also a significant probability that the cryptocurrency may have already topped in this cycle. Investors and traders in the cryptocurrency market will need to closely monitor Bitcoin’s price movements in the coming years to better understand the potential risks and rewards associated with this digital asset.
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